The Texas Southern Tigers are set to celebrate their 90th Homecoming on campus as they welcome Virginia-Lynchburg to Durley Stadium. This week marks a significant occasion for the Tigers, who are looking to build on their recent momentum. Alongside Texas Southern’s festivities, Florida A&M, Southern, and Mississippi Valley State will also host homecoming games against Alcorn State, Prairie View A&M, and Lincoln (CA), respectively.
As part of the Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC) action, advanced analytics provide insights into the matchups. If all favorites win, the projected standings will place Jackson State at the top with a record of 5-1 and 3-0 in conference play, followed by Alabama State at 4-2 and 2-1. Florida A&M could potentially move to 2-1 in conference play if they secure a victory this week.
Analytical Insights for SWAC Matchups
The analytics predict that Prairie View A&M will maintain its lead in the West and enhance its overall resume. The Tigers of Texas Southern are expected to continue their positive trajectory with a straightforward non-conference victory. Meanwhile, Florida A&M is anticipated to face a tight contest at home, while Grambling State aims to keep pace in the West division. Mississippi Valley State is looking for its first win against Lincoln, which would be a significant boost for the program.
Here are the current power ratings for the SWAC teams:
– Jackson State: 1785
– Prairie View A&M: 1760
– Texas Southern: 1725
– Grambling State: 1720
– Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 1680
– Southern: 1660
– Florida A&M: 1650
– Alabama State: 1740
– Alabama A&M: 1725
– Bethune-Cookman: 1660
– Alcorn State: 1640
– Mississippi Valley State: 1600
The HBCU+ model, inspired by ESPN’s Bill Connelly and his SP+ system, aims to provide a predictive analytics tool tailored for HBCU football. The model combines strength of schedule with performance metrics to forecast game outcomes, offering a data-driven approach to understanding the dynamics of these matchups.
Looking Ahead to Week 8
Four teams from the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC) will also see action this week. The expected power ratings are as follows:
– South Carolina State: 1750
– Delaware State: 1740
– Morgan State: 1720
– Norfolk State: 1680
The predictions suggest that Morgan State and South Carolina State are heavy favorites, while the matchup between Norfolk State and Hampton appears to be closely contested. Delaware State will need to exhibit discipline and a robust running game to challenge Monmouth.
The HBCU+ model continues to develop, aiming to provide fans with insightful weekly breakdowns that clarify the statistical underpinnings of each game. Enthusiasts of HBCU football can expect ongoing analyses that prioritize data-driven insights over mere speculation.
For those interested in contributing ideas for the model’s name or sharing thoughts on the predictions, engagement on social media is encouraged. Fans can tag @HBCULegends and @KTMOZE to join the conversation. Special thanks to the Urban Edge Network for supporting the HBCU+ initiative, which promises to enhance the understanding and enjoyment of HBCU football this season.
