2025 Unfolds: Key Defense Developments and Future Outlook

As 2025 unfolds, the landscape of the U.S. defense sector is marked by significant changes and unpredictability. The new administration under former President Donald Trump has already initiated a series of controversial moves, including the dismissal of multiple military generals by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. This year also witnessed the longest government shutdown in history while defense spending increased, a contradiction made possible through complex legislative maneuvers.

In December, the release of the National Security Strategy highlighted an unprecedented focus on the Western Hemisphere, juxtaposed with tensions in Europe. As European nations ramp up localized defense spending, American manufacturers could face challenges in maintaining their market share. The ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Asia, along with the evolving situation regarding Ukraine, further underscore the uncertainty that defines current defense policy.

This article serves as part of a comprehensive review by Breaking Defense, which examines pivotal moments from 2025 while also forecasting developments for 2026. The editorial team has expanded significantly this past year, launching a full-time video initiative that grew to include three regular shows and several roundtables. This growth reflects the organization’s commitment to delivering robust multimedia content alongside traditional reporting.

In May, the team welcomed Mike Yeo as the Indo-Pacific bureau chief. The following months also saw strategic personnel shifts, including a new role focused on the Pentagon, which transitioned Ashley Roque from Army coverage. Carley Welch took over Army coverage, and Mark Pomerleau joined the team to cover networks and digital warfare. On the editorial side, Rachel Cohen was brought on board to support the team.

Unfortunately, the year also marked the departure of two key figures. Justin Katz, a long-serving Navy reporter and the first hire at Breaking Defense, is moving on to a new role outside journalism. Colin Clark, the founder of Breaking Defense, has chosen to retire, focusing on personal pursuits. The team expresses gratitude for their contributions to the publication.

A noteworthy aspect of 2025 has been the challenges posed by the Defense Department’s efforts to limit media access at the Pentagon. These actions have raised concerns about transparency and the ability of a free press to hold the military accountable. The major defense publications have united to assert their commitment to robust reporting, despite attempts at intimidation from Pentagon leadership. The New York Times has also initiated legal action against the Pentagon regarding these access restrictions, with hopes that the courts will affirm the legal standing of the press.

As we reflect on the past year, several significant stories stand out. The Army is grappling with a contracting pause alongside an acquisition overhaul, while the Pentagon faces pressures to adapt to a rapidly changing global landscape. The Air Force has introduced a new fighter jet, though the Navy’s version remains in limbo, highlighting the complexities of military procurement.

Looking ahead to 2026, several key developments are anticipated. The National Defense Strategy will likely guide future acquisition priorities, and the Army’s new acquisition structure may introduce innovative technologies, including a new tank prototype and advancements in drone capabilities. The competition for drone wingman technology is expected to intensify, while European nations may take a more prominent role in space initiatives.

The geopolitical landscape will continue to shape defense priorities as relationships between the U.S. and Europe evolve. The focus on the Middle East remains critical, especially concerning missile defense systems, fighter jet deals, and ongoing peace negotiations. With China poised to remain a central topic, the implications of its military advancements will likely influence U.S. defense strategy.

The past year has been one of both challenges and opportunities for the defense sector. As we enter 2026, the commitment to thorough reporting and insightful analysis remains steadfast. Readers can expect continued coverage of these key issues as they develop, ensuring that critical conversations about defense policy and strategy remain in the public eye.